Поразка трампізму: що перемога Лули означає для економіки Бразилії

28.10.2026, 06:00◉ 02 min readEditorial team “SHCHO STALOSIA”

81-річний Лула да Сілва вчетверте став президентом Бразилії. В якому стані перебуває найбільша економіка Латинської Америки і чому результати виборів не влаштовують Трампа?

English translation is temporarily unavailable. The Ukrainian original is shown.

Поразка трампізму: що перемога Лули означає для економіки Бразилії

Brazil is Latin America's largest economy, and this election was a test of whether the entire region's shift toward the right-wing conservatives could be stopped. Lula's victory interrupted this trend and dealt a blow to the US president's ambitions to form a Western Hemisphere loyal to him.

But to interpret this result as a triumph of the left would be a mistake, if only because the Brazilian parliament is now controlled by the right.

Why did theobjective economic successes of the left government almost lose to the viral videos of the right? How did Lula manage to turn the tide of the election before the second round? And what economic challenges will Brazil have to overcome next?

According to September sociological surveys, 70% of Brazilians were confident that the crime rate in the country, known for favelas, cartels and shootings, had increased significantly over the past two years. And 28% of respondents believed that violence and crime were the main problem.

Details

The nature of organized crime has also changed: large cartels have moved their bloody wars from the city streets to the Amazon jungle, focusing on money laundering through legitimate businesses.

Context

On October 25, the current president of Brazil, leftist Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, won the second round of the presidential election of his right-wing rival Flavio Bolsonaro, who led in the first round. Flavio is the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, who was sentenced last year to 27 years in prison for storming Congress and attempting a coup after losing the 2022 election.

After Lula's defeat in the first round with a difference of more than 2 million votes, bookmakers and polls gave him almost no chance in the second round. But the 81-year-old veteran of Brazilian politics managed to make a comeback in three weeks: scoring 51.79%, he defeated Bolsonaro Jr. by a margin of almost 4.4 million votes.

What's next

After the crime rate, Brazilians cited corruption (22% of respondents), the economy (19%) and the health sector (15%) as the next three key triggers before the elections. In all these areas, there was also a gap between government reports and citizens' perceptions.